“Sakmongkol has received an intriguing analysis from a person calling himself/herself, anonymous. Sakmongkol feels that his comments posted on Sakmongkol's blog presents a good read. Probably sheds some light on the byzantine world of our politics. Sakmongkol produces the comments here, verbatim. “
Part 1
Pak Lah is smart and very sly. He is not going to give up the PM to Najib while under pressure. It is a known fact he does not like Najib and only tolerates him . He chose Najib as a DPM because he has dirt on Najib.
Do not spend to much time reading into PaK Lah but watch Khairy's wheeling and dealing with Anwar. Khairy is throwing the support behind Anwar and to stay relevant. He will not show his hand but have his people support Anwar. In the mean time as soon as Umno is out of power he will consolidate his power in UMNO by instigating a witch hunt.
Najib and the others who plotted against Pak Lah will be surrendered to Anwar with evidence to proscute them in court. These senior UMNO plotters when convicted and will be bar from political office. He will rebuild UMNO and will have UMNO allied with PR has a stragetic partner. MCA/MIC/Gerakan and other BN parties will be left high and dry if by this time they have not gone over to PR.
Khairy knows once he has made UMNO strong and he can bid for power in PR as a stragetic partner. This is the only way for Khairy to survive. Do not write off Khairy. Read the Anwar's PR statements that the BN MPs do not necessary need to cross over to support the PR government. This way Khairy keeps UMNO intact and mold into a progressive party in the mold of PKR. UMNO will remain a Bumiputra party but the UMNO constitution will be change to bar racial politics and statements by UMNO members.
In 2 or 3 years Khairy will made a bid for PM with the blessing of PR.
Pak Lah in next fews days is going to get the King to call Anwar to show prove that he has the backing of the majority of the MPs. What Pak Lah is saying in the media is a wayang kulit to keep his enemies in UMNO off balance. This is the only way to say his legacy and history will judge him as a man who place the country before himself.
Part2
The story or you can call the script continues as I left it with the parting words “More to Come”
As the days get neared to the suppose target day, the haze suddenly stars to clear as the plot / script becomes clearer.
Anwar Ibrahim as say very famously “why wouldn’t Abdullah Badawi want to meet me, He is my friend”. This statement is to assure Abdullah Badawai the he Anwar has not ditched the plan agreed by both of them.
Abdullah Badawi when he says something but means the opposite. He says no Emergency session of Parliament is planed but what he is try to say is that there will be a emergency session of Parliament in the next few days. Abdullah knows that for UMNO to survive, it has to be reformed, getting rid of the self serving UMNO warlords and be in the opposition and reflect on it self. When UMNO is in the opposition, it will be easy to rid the party of the Warlords. Simple reason is to hand them over to the PR government with evidence for prosecution.
Khairy is the Middle and point man between Anwar and Abdullah. Remember when he returned Anwar’s passport personally to Anwar on his release from prison. Khairy knows if he wants to succeed, he must get rid of the obstacles in UMNO. Down the line after 2 to 3 years UMNO in the opposition, UMNO been reformed will be invited by PR to be a partner.
Syed Hamid has played the dumb Interior minister to the hilt and deserves an Oscar. He has as per plan made UMNO and the government unpopular with the tactic approval of Abdullah / Khairy. When the BN government falls, no pity will be felt for UMNO. Khairy knows he needs to get rid of the 40 to 60 years old warlord if he wants to be PM in 9 years time.
Mahathir, poor Mahathir, he was sucked into the plan unknowingly by Abdullah and Khairy. He made the Government very unpopular when he criticized the Government. Including washing the dirty laundry in the public. He is a has been and would not be of any use now to anybody. He is an old man past his glory days.
Muyuddin is just a stooge of Najib to force Abdullah out as a PM. This is only role and he has no more value except spending time in Prison.For the other warlords I will come back to them in regards to their fate in my follow up which will be soon and also the role of the bloggers in the rise of Anwar and the defeat on Najib.
Part 3
DECIDING AND TURNING FACTOR AND REVERASAL OF NAJIB’S POLITICAL FORTUNES.
I am sorry I have to skip the write up on the fate of the UMNO (Busy) Warlords and the Bloggers factor in the rise of Anwar and the downfall of Najib.
The intense infighting in UMNO for the Premiership is one of the most telling factors as of why Taib Mahmud Chief Minister has swung his support behind Anwar. You have may or may have not notice that Taib Mahmud is been silent. He is very much pissed off at the attitude of UMNO warlords. He state and Sabah (UMNO) hold the balance of power. He has not been consulted as who will succeed Abdullah. As a senior BN leader and the second biggest party fraction in BN, he is not getting the due respect from UMNO. Taib have already sounded Anwar that he will have the support of PBB MPs and some of the otherSarawak BN MPs. It is too late for Najib now to reconcile Taib to his side. Remember it is also important to keep you friends and partners informed on important decisions. Taib knows that his days are getting fewer and fewer as he will not live long enough. His family influence is Sarawak may die with him and PBB and its allies will be wiped of in the next Sarawak state elections. His son’s and relatives political fortunes and their riches and wealth must be safe guarded. Hence the alliances with Anwar will safe guard his legacy and empire in Sarawak.
Majority of MCA MPs are in a dilemma and state of shock. They have been told point blank by Anwar that he does not need their MPs to have a majority in parliament. Anwar has offered them a place in PR, provide DAP approves it and no special favors. MCA as a party will not be accepted in PR because DAP is already championing the Chinese rights. A few MPs will join DAP and PKR as not to miss out on their political careers.
MIC is a no no and have not been offered a place in PR nor their MPs. MIC will die a natural death and no CPR can help them to live.
Gerakan is already a has been party and the party will die and natural death once the MPs join PKR
UMNO is in a very serious coma state. It will remain so until the end of the year and will come out of coma once Khairy is the leader.
Najib is having his people camping day and night out at the istana and having the King followed. Can not do much as Syed Hamid has told the police to stand down and make sure the security of the King.
The King has already informed the fellow brother Sultans of Anwar’s letter. The is going to be an emergency meeting tonight or tomorrow of the sultans and Agung. This could be a Video conference meeting or a formal meeting to discuss Anwar’s letter. Abdullah will attend the meeting to lend his support to Anwar’s letter.
Abdullah is a good and sincere man and tried to make the country better. The UMNO warlords did not let him. His legacy for Malaysiawas to be reforms of the police, judiciary, economy, Education, racial and religious rights of all races and religions.
Anwar is not on a standby mode and within an earshot once the King summons him. He is very heavily protected as talk in the streets is that his life is in danger. Knowing Anwar he will laugh out this threat.
More and more MPs are getting into the Anwar band wagon. They all know it is credible that he has the numbers.
Tonight is going to be a long night and tomorrow is going to be even longer.
Khairy is busy as a beaver and fine tuning the necessary details and arrangements to have a smooth change over from Abdullah to Anwar as a PM.
The police and immigration has been given a list of people who are bared from leaving the country and Bank Negara has a list to inform the banks to freeze the accounts of the names mentioned.
WOOOW IT IS GOING TO BE A BIG PARTY AND HIP HIP HOORAY TO CHAOS FOR NEXT 2 WEEKS AND THEN TO NORMALCY.
Watch for the fall of the UMNO warlords and the Bloggers influence in the rise of Anwar and the fall of BN
21 September 2008 20:54
UPDATE 1: 22/09/08
Part 4
The Royalty and deciding factor in the battle between Najib’s UMNO –BN (I did not mention Abdullah Badawi as it is not his fight but Najib’s fight with Anwar) and Anwar’s PR
The flexing of the Royalty powers in Terengganu, Perlis, Perak and Selangor
Perlis – the Raja of Perlis has been a career military man until he was made a Raja Muda and then Raja of Perlis. He has known the excess of the pervious MB. He knew Abdullah after the near defeat of BN in the 13th General elections has not stomach for any fight. He has given up in the face of the massive reversal of his political fortunes. Sharidan was the guinea pig which the Malaysian royalty was to experiment one to see if they still have the powers. Abdullah was unknowingly dragged into the experience. The plot (Experiment) was agreed by the brother Sultans to test the resolve of Abdullah Badawi. Raja of Perlis started the ball rolling when he refused Sharidan to take the oath of MB of Perlis. The success of this experiment spread like wild fire to the royal states. This in effect was payback to BN for humiliation in public and curbing of their powers.
Terengganu was a small experiment for a later much larger stage (which is now been played out in KL – The play is called the testing of the Agung’s constitutional powers in appointing the PM. We all know how it is going to turn out now. Again is Terengganu the excess of the pervious state government was noted and the MB was shown the way out. Another successful experiment and not a whimper from Abdullah Badawi. All systems go and Anwar was encouraged to make a go for the PM post.
Selangor and Perak another set of experiment to see if PR will respect, all successful. Now is the eyes of the public the royalty has been redeemed.
Najib was not promoted to Finance ministry but moved out as a request from the King. The King feared chaos with Najib as the defense minister during these trouble times. Najib does not think twice when it comes to a violent decision as in the case of the Mongolian girl.
The Royalty in effect hijacked some of the constitutional powers of the PM who meekly surrender it to the Royalty. The Agung and Sultans will act on the advice of the PM, but this is no more the case now.
If Mahathir has not curbed the Royalty powers and humiliate them in Public, the royalty will not be taking the side of Abdullah’s BN. Milk is spilled and no point crying years later. The seed of this chaos was planted by Mahathir 20 years ago and now it has grown into a monster. The people are all behind the Agung now and that is where the power is “THE PEOPLE”
I will take a break for now until tomorrow evening to my 2 cents of input. UMNO warlords andBloggers role in rise of Anwar will be after the PR Take over.
21 September 2008 22:13
"We will see how the story unfolds. Mr anonymous, who are you?"
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INTERLUDE-comment by Sakmongkol AK47
Sakmongkol cannot wait until Mr. anonymous finishes his story. Since he wishes to remain incognito, we shall call him Mr Anon. Mr. Anon has posted a series of comments on the political scene. He has posted them on Sakmongkol’s blog. It has 4 parts at this time of writing. Sakmongkol has re-produced them verbatim as feature articles. The title of the series was named as Political Whodunit. His intention is to open up a debate on the postings by this Mr Anon. it has become more nail biting than an Alfred Hitchcock’s thriller.
It tells us, of the following main points.
1. That UMNO is in the throes of death. Some say, it is in comatose. Its main cause is the decaying forces from within. They take the form of internecine wars between the UMNO warlords.
2. The only way to re-constitute UMNO , reform it, rejuvenate it, is to allow UMNO to die. Readers will remember that Sakmongkol has posted an article, shall we do a Kervokian on UMNO. It tells us the story about euthanasia- or doctor assisted demise. Mr. Anon has responded by posting his comments there. The result of his action has now placed everyone of us in suspense and some agitated.
3. Now, the doctors assisting the death of UMNO are the honest to goodness Pak Lah and Khairi Jamaludin. The euthanasia on UMNO shall be done in both manners, i.e. passively, by Doctors Abdullah Badawi and the Oxford trained Khairy Jamaludin.
4. It shall also be done the aggressive euthanasia way by Dr. Anwar ‘Mengele’ Ibrahim. Remember the story ‘The Boys fromBrazil’ starring Gregory Peck as Dr Angel of Death, Hans Mengele who injected boys with some substance to turn them into blue-eyed Aryans? Yes the same Gregory Peck who played Atticus Finch in To Kill a Mockingbird( the story so well loved by our blogger friend, that connoisseur of the English Language,
Mat Bangkai). Well, in our case, Anwar Ibrahim will undoubtedly inject some enthusiasm in the new emerging UMNO that will be headed, as per the scheme of Mr Anon, Khairy Jalmaludin.
Parts 1 and 2 of the Whodunit series, are vainglorious attempts to recast Khairi Jamaluddin as the emerging force within UMNO. Mr Anon appears to be in a hurry to force a conclusion. His analysis appears to be a rush job and disjointed at that. That the man, UMNO can rely to salvage UMNO is Khairy. This high speed attribute makes the whole story seem rushing and desperate to acquire self fulfilling prophecy overtones.
The UMNO which Mr Anon describes is an UMNO The Day After. It is the successor of the UMNO which has been despatched by Anwar Ibrahim’s aggressive euthanasia.
Mr Anon projects the image of khairy as the man who will one day lead a re-constituted UMNO sans the warlords, sans the old guard, sans Najib and leaders of the same genus.
Sakmongkol wishes to suspend judgement as to the exuberant way Mr Anonymous has painted Abdullah an Khairy. Clearly, this is a blatant attempt to recast these two central figures in favourable light in the unfolding drama. Hence, the benign phrase that Pak Lah is a nice fellow etc. and Khairy of course as the brain box being Oxford trained and all that.
That aside, Sakmongkol agrees with the observation as to the character of UMNO. If Mr Anon is an UMNO insider and who walks on the fringes of the corridors of powerful people, his admission of the ills that are ravaging UMNO now serves to do this. It would confirm once and for all that UMNO is nothing but an elitist political party, dominated as always, from the beginning, by powerful party bosses.
Leadership in UMNO then becomes a race among those not civil of men to secure control of the party and then extract as much benefits and gains as possible. Subsequently the spoils and loot of incessant power struggles would be shared among enforcers and foot soldiers.
In the meantime, the meek public, always fearful of reprisals and at the same time dependent on the vast protection racket devised by the Mafiosi dons, received the one thing that has been elevated to the status of all important life giving elixir- PROTECTION.
Hence UMNO is the only defender of RELIGION, RACE and COUNTRY.
The writer would have us believed that the principal protagonists in UMNO, Pak lah and khairi have been sent down to earth to save UMNO from itself. The question that follows then, is what has UMNO done that merits saving by such elaborate scheme? By positing Pak Lah and Khary in such a favourable light, ignoring the fact that these two are part of the UMNO problem, Mr Anon really wants to salvage whatever semblance of credibility is left from these two players.
Whereas in reality, UMNO finds itself in total disarray today is because of Pak Lah’s flaccid leadership. That leadership is further weakened by the schemings and machinations of the young, ambitious and reckless Khairy Jamaludin.
That UMNO has become rancid and bad because of political warlordism is also true. That would suggest on the reverse and quite to the contrary to Mr Anon’s thinking, the need for strong and resolute and determined leaders, ruthless in political finishing, to unite the dispersing forces that are pulling UMNO apart. But it is mischievous for Mr. Anon to suggest that Khairy Jamaluddin fits the bill.
To be continued-in the spirit of the serialised thinking of Mr. Anon.
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Part 5 (Final)
This is Mr. Anonymous’s final instalment of the political whodunit series. Sakmongkol wishes to thank him for his permission to reproduce his postings verbatim.
Sakmongkol commends him for his diligence and resolve to pursue his line of arguments. It in turn, has sparked a lively debate in the form of responses from several other bloggers including sakmongkol. Sakmongkol cordially invites Mr. anonymous to continue posting his comments in Sakmongkol’s blog.
Here is the final and Part 5 of Mr. Anonymous comments.
Final part on how it is and told as it is of the countdown the end of the old empire and rise of the new empire .All great empires are built on the ashes of great empires. Heil CesarStart of the new empire building.
The seeds for the lineage of the new empire was sowed the moment Abdullah became the New Cesar of Malaysia.
1. Khairy with the tactic approval of Abdullah met with Wan Azizah (wife of Anwar) to help obtain Anwar’s release from prison for a price. Not too many details were discussed during the first meeting.
2. Wan Azizah on her first meeting with Anwar after meeting up with Khairy, informed Anwar the general outline of the discussions and a request from Khairy for a four eye meeting.
3. Anwar gave the go ahead and Wan Azizah thru emissaries pass the message to Khairy the meeting is acceptable but must not take place in Sungai Buloh prison but somewhere else. The meeting was finally arranged in a place acceptable to both Khairy and Anwar. Guess where, The Sungai Buloh prison warden’s home. This was done as not to raise suspicion. All involved were sworn to secrecy.
4. The four eye meeting got under way and it was not one meeting but several meetings to formulate the plan and understanding.
5. Terms and conditions were discussed. Some details of the meeting were that
a) Anwar will be freed and cleared of the sodomy charges but not of the corruption of power charges. This is done as not to raise suspicion and also to make sure that Anwar does not bid for power for the next five years.
b) Khairy discussed with Anwar of an orderly succession as PM.
c) Abdullah Badawi will be PM for 5 years, Anwar for 9 years and the Khairy. Anwar was shock and amassed at Khairy’s confidence.
d) Khairy will provide Anwar damaging material on the UMNO warlords who will need to be disgraced via corruption charges , racial insensitivity
e) Anwar will thru his network will feed this info to the bloggers. The bloggers for involuntary became part of the plan and the spin. The bloggers were looking for hot stories to popularize their blogs. The more you keep on repeating a story; the story sooner or later will take a life of it own. RajaPetra Kamarudin fitted the bill because he was the King of the bloggers. All the bloggers will belief was he writes on his blog. Raja Petra is in a sense a blogger with a romantic sense of life that is the man to save Malaysia. What a pity that he belief in own spin. He was made to look as the fall guy and help push the Anwar Khairy agenda.
6. The alienating of the Indians in Selangor thru Temple demolishing and the holding of UMNO general assembly was the plan to turn the Indians off from BN. Plan succeeded because Hindraf where unknowingly sucked to this web of deceit. Organizations need men to boys to lead and sorry for the case of Hindraf it was the other way round. Detention of the Hindraf 5 was a god given opportunity to future alienate the Indians from BN. Poor Samy Vellu was not a party to the plan and did not know if it was bicycle or a train which hit him. He is still clueless as to what he is doing. What do you expect from a man who taught only for himself and his family and not of his fellow Indians?
7. Chinese alienation from MCA. This is interesting as there were too many anti-Chinese statements by the UMNO members and also by Khairy to further alienate the Chinese and the meek or now response from MCA and Gerakan. DAP, PKR and even PAS came out to condemn the remarks and support the Chinese.
8. Who were Khairy stooges in UMNO? This is a closely guarded secret and even Anwar will be surprised.
9. Why was the General election called before the expiry of Anwar’s 5 years ban? First it was to make sure Anwar can milk the sympathy votes and to make sure that Anwar is not distracted by his own election. This way he can spend his energy to help the opposition to deny BN a 2/3 majority.
10. Najib was left to his own doing by Abdullah and that is the reason for some of the bizarre decisions taken to prosecute Anwar and knowing his IQ level it was self destruction the moment he pressed the panic button.
11. Now is the time Khairy and Anwar must make sure their plan has to succeed.
12. The King (Agung) has taken an oath to be the King for all Malaysians and to reign and not rule. Let see the advice given by his fellow Sultans on the next course of action. I am inclined to belief that the final interpretation of the law on the royalty side will come from Sultan Azlan Shah.I am also curious to the ending of the chaos and waiting for the new DAWN. Heil Cesar.
As for the Umno warlords, these were suckers taken for a ride and now await their vacation in prison. As of the bloggers thanks for the naïve approach to the politics ofMalaysia.As for me I have said my piece and I will reveal myself in due time.
22 September 2008 12:54
Sakmongkol hopes readers will enjoy reading Mr. Anonymous's interpretation of current politics.
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UPDATE: 23Rrd September.
Sakmongkol answers a political Whodunit-2
Mr anon sounded very jubilant indeed at the prospects of (a) Anwar Ibrahim coming to power and (b) that somehow, Anwar becomes the PM by courtesy of Pak lah and Khairy doing the machete clearing of the UMNO undergrowth.
Mr anon then offers the very distended argument that Anwar Ibrahim somehow owes a favour to Abdullah Badawi through the point man, Khairy Jamaluddin.
Where does kind of reasoning leaves Mr Anon? He is seen straddling both sides( uncannily similar to Anwar’s alleged behaviour?). but Sakmongkol sees him as doing the running with hares and hunting with the hounds routine. Mr Anon hedges his bet both on Anwar during Anwar’s projected tenure of premiership and then later to be continued under the reign of the most famous SIL.
First let Sakmongkol tackle the role played by Pak Lah and Khairy in this earth shattering project. The role that can be aptly described as complicity in the hastening the downfall of UMNO.
Where is the Achilles heel in Mr Anon’s argument?
The weak link Sakmongkol believes lies in the overestimation of the cunningness of both Pak lah and Khairy. By painting a picture of both of them were in the whole thing from the beginning, planning, hatching and executing, would be to prescribe extraordinary abilities on both of them, which they ill deserved.
To impute omniscient political prowess on both of them is a bit of a stretch on the credibility. It runs counter to the track record exhibited by Pak Lah. He is most of the time lost and bewildered. To suggest that he is now on top of things capable of conceptualising and then implementing the plan outlined by Mr Anon, can only elicit a WOW exclamation. Very rare and impossible.
Then, there is the question of Khairy. Isn’t he the brain box, da man from Oxford?. To that, Sakmongkol can only retort- how clever can a man from Oxford be? He may be a clever chap but sakmongkol is not so sure whether that cleverness extends to the ability to hatch such a byzantine and serpentine plot.
When was this complicity and plot alleged to have begun? It began, says Mr.Anon when SIL was sent to hand over the passport to Anwar Ibrahim enabling the latter to go to Germany. So that Anwar Ibrahim can save himself from a life threatening back ailment, an affliction no doubt caused by numerous turning and bending overs. For that, Anwar is supposed to owe Pak Lah big time.
How are these mortal enemies united? Because Mr Anon postulates, that Pak Lah and Khairi are as reform minded as Anwar Ibrahim. Wow and double wow!. For according to Mr Anon;
Abdullah is a good and sincere man and tried to make the country better. The UMNO warlords did not let him. His legacy for Malaysiawas to be reforms of the police, judiciary, economy, Education, racial and religious rights of all races and religions.
This bold claim by Mr Anon, is objectionable. Since 2004, what had Pak Lah achieved?. The IPCMC which was touted to be a proof of the new government’s transparency and honesty, was abandoned. The report is nowhere to be seen. If it is in Police Custody , then that could even be more of a jeopardy. The Police has acquired an ignominious reputation of easily losing evidences.
And the Judicary? Can any reasonably minded person accept the payment of ex gratia to sacked and sacked-but-later reinstated judges be an earth shattering judicial reform? In fact, if the judges had any moral compunctions, they would not have accepted the purchase of their loyalty. Pak Lah’s nod to the elevation of dubious persons to become high court judges runs counter to Mr Anon’s claim that Pak Lah is judicial reform minded. If Pak Lah is still judicial reform minded he would not have hired Zaid Ibrahim and now nazri Aziz as law ministers. The appointments proved that Pak Lah has not got any clue as to what judicial reform is all about.
The Economy? Pak Lah has not run the finance ministry to be able to know how the economy functions, what more to reform it. How? By insisting Malays stay put in low productivity agriculture because now 50 agricultural experts have just come back from Taiwan? They are eager to go barefooted into the rice fields and palm oil estates, into the leased and illegally occupied lands to teach our stupid kampong folks the art of agriculture?
Education? Will our education be improved when we are continuously see-sawing between English medium and Malay medium or having Malay or English as medium of instruction? Or that we are about to create thousands of PhDs?
And we can improve our race relations when within UMNO, Pak Lah accommodates and indeed tolerated outbursts of overt racist incendiary remarks?
And religion? People are actually put off by this appendage called Islam Hadhari. Or as Mr Anon would have found most agreeable, Pak Lah’s Islam Hadhari is really an extension of Anwar Ibrahim’s Islam Maddani? Both versions would indeed have maddening impacts on the Malays.
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